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The Way to Health...

  • HP-1: Records in Power - R.I.P. Training 1.0        Purpose This procedure presents a bodybuilding program which is designed to measure and maximize Power production.  While most programs focus on either Strength or Hypertrophy, the RIP (Records in Power) Program seeks a balance.  A spreadsheet that calculates the power produced by each exercise is available via the Research Offers page. 2.0        Scope & Application I believe this program is optimal for training of athletic power production.  Athletes in most sports are not concerned with raw strength or in hypertrophy (ie. “looks”).  Rather it is the production of power that is of utmost importance.  Few programs directly address this need.  Therefore this program may be suitable for individual athletes or sports teams.  The collection of power data for ...
    Posted Mar 18, 2014, 8:15 PM by David W
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  • The Perfect Basketball Jump Shot Paul Hoover has studied 40 years of basketball film to learn the mechanics of the NBA's best shooters.  He teaches this thru his 'Pro Shot Shooting System'.Forget whatever you think you know about jump shots and shooting three pointers.  Here are two videos which describe the basics of the Pro Shot shooting system:These above two videos likely won't convince you that this is 'revolutionary'.  But I think it is.  What you need to do to be convinced as I am is watch more of the videos at Paul's website, www.focusedshooter.com where he has tons of footage of many great shooters.  He breaks down their mechanics and shows how all of them follow the ...
    Posted Feb 23, 2014, 8:55 PM by David W
  • Youth Basketball Pre-Game Warmup Drill Only have 5 minutes to warmup the team before the game?  Here's how to shoot 60 Lay-ups, 40 jump shots, and make 220 passes in 4 1/2 minutes.  All the while engraining good basic off-ball movement.  It's not too complicated, but should be taught at practice first.  In fact this makes a good practice warmup.Most pre-game warmups have little functional usefulness to the game (ie.  2-line layups).  This warmup will help your offensive reactions tremendously.  It also supports the 'Read and React' offense, a popular youth basketball offense.
    Posted Feb 15, 2014, 8:26 PM by David W
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The Way to Wealth...

  • Market and Portfolio Comments..
    "Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good results."
       Warren Buffet, 1974 Letter to Shareholders
  • Projected Returns of Major Asset Classes Lets examine the investment yields currently offered to us by the major asset classes.The projected return for a Bond index fund is relatively simple.  The projected return is the dividend yield, with an effective time to maturity in years known as Duration.  A bond fund is guaranteed to deliver this return - subject to the funds' individual credit and interest-rate risk profile.  Thus, US Corporate bond funds, having a higher credit risk, should offer a greater yield than US Government bond funds of the same duration.Calculating the projected returns for stock indexes is not as difficult as you might expect.  We can use a simple Dividend Discount Model or a projected-earnings based model.  My 10-year projected ...
    Posted Apr 7, 2014, 6:33 PM by David W
  • Could Monday Be the Peak of this Bull Market? Two men who influence my market views the most are calling for a significant stock market correction in mid-January.John Hussman, manager of the Hussman Strategic Growth Fund, has been bearish for a while now, saying stocks have reached valuations levels matched only by some infamous market tops - namely 1999, 1987, 1972 and August 1929.  He's also been describing recent market action in terms of a Log-Periodic bubble, with accelerating advances and shallow declines.  Hussman calculates that this  bubble pattern will end (or has ended) between December 13th and January 13th (Monday).Hussman is not a 'perma-bear'.   He has successfully managed his funds according to market valuations and market action for more than a decade.Link ...
    Posted Jan 11, 2014, 5:08 PM by David W
  • Trend Exhaustion on 3 timeframes: We finally reached 'Sell in May and Go Away' [May 23, 2013]A significant sell signal was completed today by the S&P 500.  I follow a 'Trend Exhaustion' system that uses the Setup, Sequential and Combo technical indicators.  Some amazing calls made by these indicators have been described in my article: Trend Exhaustion Market Timing Excel Spreadsheet.  Detailed descriptions of the indicators and other information is also found on my Tom Demark page.  In this article I will assume you have a basic understanding of these indicators.   I also highly recommend the book, "Demark Indicators" by Jason Perl.The spreadsheet can analyze the Setup, Sequential and Combo indicators on 3 time frames - Monthly, Weekly, and Daily.  Looking back at market history, major sell signals have occurred when the ...
    Posted May 23, 2013, 8:53 PM by David W
  • Apple reaches the 'Margin of Safety' price; time to Buy Patience has paid off.  In my recent article Apple is selling below Intrinsic Value, so now we wait on the Margin of Safety,  I calculated Apple's Intrinsic Value at $566, with a 'Margin of Safety' Buy price of $424.50Yesterday Apple stock fell below $424.50 and provided an opportunity to enter.  The stock has been declining in value ever since its record high of $705 per share in September. Within the past six months, shares of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) have fallen more than 37 percent.  Anyone suggesting in September (or December as I did) that Apple was overpriced was thought crazy.  But as Ben Graham said, "In the short run market is a voting machine, but ...
    Posted Mar 5, 2013, 9:16 PM by David W
  • Apple is selling below Intrinsic Value, so now we wait on the Margin of Safety Original post: Dec. 12, 2012*************************Update:        Feb. 26, 2013Apple has released a new quarterly report.   Running the analysis with the new data raises my 'Intrinsic Value estimate to $566.00.   With a 25% Margin of Safety, my new 'Buy' price is $424.50.*************************Apple is a great example of a stock that steadily grows earnings year after year with no negative years.  In fact it has been so successful its earning have grown near parabolic in the past:When we purchase a stock, however, we are buying the future earnings, not the past.  We cannot expect Apple to continue to grow in parabolic fashion for another 10 years.  Here is a look at Apple’s (AAPL) meteoric past 10 ...
    Posted Feb 26, 2013, 4:17 PM by David W
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  • RealtyTrac Reports the Top 10 Markets to Buy a Rental Property Right Now In these ten metro areas, small real estate investors can expect to find great home deals and double-digit returns on their rental property investment, according to RealtyTrac:1)    Wichita Falls, TX - average Return on Investment (ROI) of 13.4%2)    Lubbock, TX - ROI 11.8%3)    Syracuse, NY - ROI 10.9%4)    Oklahoma City, OK - ROI 10.8%5)    Ithaca, NY - ROI 10.7%6)    Austin, TX - ROI 10.7%7)    Rochester, NY - ROI 10.3%8)    Nashville, TN - ROI 10.2%    9)    Gainesville, FL - ROI 10.1%10)  Schenectady, N.Y. - ROI 10.0%via CNN MoneyLook for double-digit ROI's from rental property wherever you are using the Rental Real Estate Excel Spreadsheet.RealtyTrac is ...
    Posted Feb 25, 2014, 6:13 PM by David W
  • U.S. Rents Hit Record Highs As Home Ownership Plunges <<via Zerohedge:The American Homeownership Dream is officially dead. Long live the New Normal American Dream: Renting. According to the latest quarterly homeownership data released by the Census Bureau, [...] the percentage of Americans who have a house declined from 65.2% to 65.1%: the lowest since 1995. [...] Those wishing to brave the New Normal world will have to spend a lot for rent. A record lot in fact: the median asking rent for US vacant housing units just hit an all time high of $735 per month. The pain is most acute for those renting in the Northeast, where the median rent soared by $65 to a record high of $961.So rents are soaring.>>What should you do ...
    Posted Jul 31, 2013, 8:38 PM by David W
  • Warren Buffet goes big into Real Estate, buying the Prudential Real Estate Brokerage Berkshire Hathaway, the investment vehicle of Omaha billionaire Warren Buffet, is buying the Prudential network of real estate brokers and changing its name.  The new brokerage will be called Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices, and Prudential agents will begin switching to the new brand next year. The terms of the deal weren't disclosed. The Prudential network had been owned by Brookfield Asset Management, and Berkshire's HomeServices of America unit is the network's new majority owner.The Prudential name will be eliminated over the next few years, to be replaced by 'Berkshire Hathaway Home Services.'Buffett said he's happy to lend Berkshire's name and financial strength to the new company, which will be based in Irvine, Calif., and ...
    Posted Nov 5, 2012, 7:51 PM by David W
  • Warren Buffet says Single-family Rental property is as "Attractive of an investment you can make." Many commentators (myself included) have been saying that single-family rental property is a well-priced "asset class" that deserves attention. Below is an excerpt from a recent Warren Buffett interview on CNBC:If I had a way of buying a couple hundred thousand single-family homes… I would load up on them… it's a very attractive asset class now. I could buy…them at distressed prices and find renters and … [take a] mortgage, it's a leveraged way of owning a very cheap asset and I think that's as attractive of an investment as you can make.Warren Buffett, CNBC's Squawk Box, Monday, February 27, 2012*************In addition, research analyst Oliver Chang at Morgan Stanley has ...
    Posted Nov 6, 2012, 9:52 AM by David W
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The Way to Wisdom...

  • 2014 Subaru Legacy - the car you should buy today Looking for good value in a safe, reliable car?  The 2014 Subaru Legacy provides the lowest total cost of ownership in one of the safest cars from a reliable manufacturer. How did I determine this?  Here's how to do it: Safety First!: The website www.informedforlife.org is an independent organization created solely for the purpose of helping individuals select a car that may save lives in an accident.  They combine IIHS and NHTSA data along with vehicle weight to determine the safest cars on the road.  The safest vehicles for model-years 2011-2014 must meet the following criteria:     *    Rated "Top Pick" by IIHS and "5-Star Overall" by NHTSA.  The testing protocols used by these agencies complement ...
    Posted Mar 16, 2014, 1:25 PM by David W
  • Learn Austrian Economics via LewRockwell.com Learn Austrian Economics by Thomas E. Woods, Jr.    The past several years have seen a revival of interest in the Austrian School of economics. (For some background on the Austrian School, read this essay and this essay.) I've assembled this resource list to help beginners embark on a program of self-education in the Austrian School. I have marked a few titles with ** to indicate their importance. Many of the books and audiobooks, in addition to all of the articles, that appear on the list below are available to read or listen to online. An Introduction to Economic Reasoning These books, all relatively short and available online or for purchase, are an excellent starting point for ...
    Posted Nov 10, 2012, 7:59 AM by David W
  • Frederick Hayek's The Road to Serfdom An unimpeachable classic work in political philosophy, intellectual and cultural history, and economics, The Road to Serfdom has inspired and infuriated politicians, scholars, and general readers for half a century. Originally published in 1944, when Eleanor Roosevelt supported the efforts of Stalin, and Albert Einstein subscribed lock, stock, and barrel to the socialist program, The Road to Serfdom was seen as heretical for its passionate warning against the dangers of state control over the means of production. For F. A. Hayek, the collectivist idea of empowering government with increasing economic control would lead not to a utopia but to the horrors of Nazi Germany and Fascist Italy. First published by the University of Chicago Press on September 18, 1944, The ...
    Posted Nov 10, 2012, 7:59 AM by David W
  • Milton Friedman puts a young 'Michael Moore' in his place Milton Friedman makes all the good points in this video, yet in this specific example he ignores that something else is going on - which is the problem of information asymmetry. If Ford's customers knew that buying this particular car was needlessly and significantly more dangerous than most other cars, they probably wouldn't buy that car. For his argument to "principle" to make any sense, Ford's car would have to be significantly cheaper than any other comparable car, offering customers the choice of a cheap but dangerous car.
    Posted Nov 10, 2012, 7:59 AM by David W
  • The Broken Window Fallacy via Wikipedia: The parable of the broken window was introduced by Frédéric Bastiat in his 1850 essay Ce qu'on voit et ce qu'on ne voit pas (That Which Is Seen and That Which Is Unseen) to illustrate why destruction, and the money spent to recover from destruction, is actually not a net-benefit to society. The parable, also known as the broken window fallacy or glazier's fallacy, demonstrates how opportunity costs, as well as the law of unintended consequences, affect economic activity in ways that are "unseen" or ignored. The parable Bastiat's original parable of the broken window from Ce qu'on voit et ce qu'on ne voit pas (1850): Have you ever witnessed the ...
    Posted Nov 10, 2012, 7:59 AM by David W
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